This is a collaborative article, This week’s contributors include: Will Schwartz; XXLonteXX; RustyHHSports; Andy Chase; Aaron Kinney; RickHHSports, & Pat Taylor.
Week 9 College Football Betting Picks for the 23-24′ season – Happy Hour Sports Writers Picks
Will Schwartz’ Picks for NCAAF Week 9
Michigan State @ Minnesota u40.5
After Minnesota helped to hit the under of the century last week, as their 12-10 contest against Iowa easily smashed the historically-low total of 30.5, the number is somehow higher this week as they square off with another defense-first squad with a totally incompetent offense. That would be the Michigan State Spartans, who have not won a game since Mel Tucker was ousted after some disturbing allegations.
The Spartans are coming off a home shutout at the hands of Michigan, as quarterback Katin Houser has struggled to take over the offense. Minnesota somehow has the higher-graded offense in this clash, as their unit is 117th as per EPA per play compared to 128th for MSU. The defenses are both top-50 by this same metric, so it’s genuinely impossible to understand where this line came from, especially on a day where the Twin Cities are expecting temperatures in the low 30s and wintry mix falling from the sky.
Rick’s Picks for College Football Betting Week 9 23-24′
Oregon @ Utah +6.5, o/u 47.5
Rice-Eccles Stadium is one of the hardest places to play in the country despite their 51,444 capacity, and weird stuff always seems to happen there so it’s fitting that Halloween comes up Tuesday. Not only does aura and instinct tell you to go with Utah, but their offense is finally starting to show improvement to complement their fantastic defense, scoring 34 in each of their last two games. Bryson Barnes is showing noticeable improvement but is still very much a game manager.
I hate to tell Utah fans, but their offense doesn’t have the weapons necessary to test this Oregon defense enough to keep this game close, and they’ll need about 21 points to cover this spread because Oregon’s offensive line is one of the best in the country and the combo of Bo Nix and Bucky Irving is a problem for defenses to scheme. Utah’s defense probably makes this game close at halftime, but I have confidence that Nix is able to finish enough drives that the Utes cannot.
The Ducks defense is levels ahead of Cal and Southern Cal, and their offense is as good as any they’ve faced. Give me the Ducks here to take care of business and expose a Utah team that has made it work so far despite obviously not being close to their usual level.
Pick: Oregon -6.5 -110
Duke @ Louisville -4.5, o/u 46
The Duke Blue Devils travel for their fourth very difficult game in just five weeks, with the fifth being a bye week 3 weeks ago. After losing their College GameDay matchup against Notre Dame in September, they beat rivals North Carolina State at home before getting waxed on the road at Florida State. Yes, Riley Leonard played but he was banged up. Now they travel again up to Louisville after losing their second game of the season. How healthy are they, and how much energy and focus do they have after going 1-2 in this tough stretch?
We can only assume that Louisville is frothing at the bit after getting upset by lowly Pittsburgh to ruin their previously undefeated record. The Cardinals beat North Carolina State before upsetting Notre Dame at home, only to sleepwalk through Pitt on the road. Now for 2 weeks their coaching staff has been berating them to lock in to a season where they have a real chance at a New Year’s Six bowl. Here is Louisville’s remaining schedule: vs VT, vs Virginia, @ Miami, vs Kentucky.
I’ll take the Cardinals to lock in and win this one by two possessions as Duke licks their wounds before a wicked home stretch to end the season.
Pick: Louisville -4.5 -110
Additional Plays in College football Betting this weekend
Oregon State -3 -115 is my weekly Beaver play, they’re 16-4 ATS in their last 20 games, and I see no reason to think this team doesn’t win this ballgame. Respect the Beavers.
Baylor +3 -110 is another play I’m on this week. The Bears are 1-4 at home and 2-0 on the road this year, but they are facing one of the worst offensive lines in football and I trust Dave Aranda to stop the wheels from falling off this year.
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Rusty – Week 9 NCAAF Lock
Utah +7 vs Oregon
My spidey sense are tingling and telling me that Utah is going to continue on playing spoiler by upsetting Oregon at home. Those Mormons sure do get rowdy! I have nothing to back up this pick, I just feel it in my cahones.
LOCK IT. Utah +7
Aaron’s Week 9 NCAAF Picks
Colorado +17.5 vs #13 UCLA
Travis Hunter is finally back, and that changes the entire dynamic of this Colorado team. He looked nothing like a man who just missed three weeks with a lacerated liver, racking up 140 yards and two touchdowns while playing double duty on the defensive side of the ball. I don’t care how good UCLA is, 17.5 points is way too much of a spread against Coach Prime, Shedeur Sanders, and their favorite utility knife now that he’s healthy and had a chance to get back up to speed against Stanford last week.
The Pick: Colorado +17.5
NCAAF Week 9 Picks by Lonte
157. Purdue vs. 158. Nebraska
Nebraska injury report is lengthy and something that head coach Matt Rhule says he hasn’t seen in his coaching career. Add that with Nebraska being only being able to run the ball (79th rush success rate vs 122nd pass success rate) and Purdue coming off a bye where they were able to get healthy, I think they are the side here.
I have this power rated around pk and with the added time off for Walters to implement some new schemes and adjust others. Nebraska was out-gained by Northwestern last week and failed to put them away when they needed to.
If the Purdue defense can keep Nebraska out of 3rd and short, I think not only can they cover but they will win this outright. Purdue is the healthier team and has had two weeks to prepare for a somewhat simplistic offense so I expect a big effort from the Boilermakers.
Pick: 157. Purdue +2.5
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