COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING PICKS WEEK THREE (NCAAF BETTING)

NCAAF 23-24′ Season Week 3 Best Bets – College Football Betting

This week’s picks for your best bets in College Football brought to you by the Happy Hour Sports team. See our picks below by author.

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Rick’s Week 3 NCAAF Sports Betting Picks

Rick (@RickHHSports)

Minnesota @ North Carolina (-7.5, o/u 51)

Have any of you watched Minnesota play this year other than when they nearly lost to Nebraska at home, scoring just 13 points? Sure, Nebraska’s defense might be decent but they followed a stinky performance up with another horrific offensive performance against Eastern Michigan, scoring just 25 points. The silver lining is that their defense has allowed just 16 points over those two matchups, so common knowledge would tell you that they’re good. I’m here to tell you they’ve faced two horrific offenses and even against those, they didn’t grade out well according to PFF defending the run, and their pass coverage looked suspect in moments against Eastern Michigan.

North Carolina enters almost losing their last affair against Appalachian State, who just continue to be a thorn in their side. The good news for North Carolina is that they have Drake Maye and their defense has made strides. The bad news is that you lost Josh Downs and the offensive line has been putrid in both matchups. Minnesota should be the best defense they’ve faced to date, so even though I’m not sold on the Golden Gopher defense, they should be able to continue to cause UNC problems on the line.

Minnesota’s best path to victory is to run the ball effectively and churn clock, resulting in what I’d imagine to be a low scoring game. Even if Minnesota isn’t effective, I don’t think North Carolina is putting up 40 on this Minnesota defense because they haven’t shown they can against two worse defenses, and Minnesota will milk the clock. Give me the under on 50.5, Vegas is factoring North Carolina’s all-offense/no-defense weight far too much here.

Pick: u51 -110 (BetMGM)

Kansas State @ Missouri (+3.5, 47.5)

I’ll keep this one pretty short. Missouri has a pretty solid defense but they have arguably the worst offense in the SEC led by Brady Cook, and they’re facing the reigning Big 12 Champions who albeit lost a lot of pieces. The Tigers will be in front of their own crowd and sadly watch that offense muster up anywhere between 7 to 13 points this weekend in a grueling low-scoring loss. I’ll take the under in this game and Kansas State spread. I know the line opened up at 5.5 but I’ll go against the line movement and back the Wildcats to win by 4 or more.

Pick: Kansas State -3.5 -120 (BetMGM) & u47.5 -110 (BetMGM)

Additional College Football Betting Week 3 Plays:

Georgia -27.5 -110 (Caesars)

Tyler’s Week 3 College Football Best bets

Tyler (@BigTimeTiller)

Washington @ Michigan State | Spread: Washington -16.5 | Total: 56

Unfortunately for Michigan State, a huge bellwether game for the state of their program is coming on the heels of quite the scandal. While we’ve already discussed the fallout from the Mel Tucker allegations, I’m going to stick to what will be on the field. While there’s always the chance that everything going on behind the scenes could lead to the team rallying, I have a hard time seeing the talent they have be able to keep pace with the Huskies. Michael Penix and his litany of weapons should be able to take advantage of a talent mismatch in the State secondary, and I don’t have a ton of faith in the Spartan offense matching. Give me the Huskies against the spread in a rout.

Pick: Washington -16.5 (-110 on DraftKings)

Louisville @ Indiana | Spread: Louisville -10 | Total: 50.5

So the Hoosiers suck. It’s going to be ugly even at home for Indiana all season, and Tom Allen is my pick for first (performance based) firing of 2022. The talent just isn’t there, and what talent they have hasn’t been adequately developed. Louisville is 2-0, and after a week one scare against Georgia Tech, they took care of business last week against Murray State. I’m not remotely concerned about Indiana covering here, let alone outright winning. I honestly see Louisville rolling by 3 scores this week.

Pick: Louisville -10 (-115 on DraftKings)

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Bennett’s Picks for Week 3 College Football (NCAAF Betting)

Bennett (@bennett_CFB)

Alabama @ South Florida | Spread: Alabama – 33.5 | Total: 61.5

Somebody’s about to get murdeeeeered and unfortunately it’s South Florida. Alabama is 13-1 after a loss under Nick Saban and the head coach is still thinking about seeing Alex Golesh on the other sideline in Tennessee orange like a scene from The Waterboy. South Florida has looked absolutely awful this year and while the Tide have looked shaky themselves you can fully expect the defense to be whipped into shape for this game and the offense to run it up with every single opportunity they get.

Pick: Alabama 1st Half -20.5 (-122 on DraftKings)

UTEP @ Arizona | Spread: Arizona -18.5 | Total: 57.5

Arizona let us down last week with the total points and De Laura just had a bad game in general. They’ll recover under the leadership of Fisch and Brennan Carrol is absolutely going to try to run the score up if he can to gain some momentum before going into conference play. UTEP may be one of the worst teams in the FBS and just got blown out by Northwestern and if probably keeps snowballing here. Found an extra point on FanDuel here as well.

Pick: Arizona -17.5 (-110 on FanDuel)

Additional Week 3 Plays:

Syracuse -2.5 (-105 on FanDuel)

FSU -26.5 (-105 on FanDuel)

Georgia Southern @ Wisconsin u64.5 (-115 on FanDuel)

ML Dog of the Week: Mizzou (+150 on FanDuel)

Pat’s Picks for Week Three In NCAAF

PT: (@PTsBestTakes)

Syracuse @ Purdue | Spread: Syracuse -2.5 | Total: 58

I’ve somehow been on the Boilermakers’ side for two times already this season and am this week as well. Again, I find Purdue to be undervalued in the market after going to Blacksburg and putting the Hokies away early. Obviously, this is a bit of a step up in competition as Virginia Tech is quite poor in comparison to most P5 competition. That being said, the Orange are not some juggernaut and the power rankings are inflated because of their week 1 blowout vs Western Michigan. Kelley Ford and Parker Fleming (two analytics experts I trust) have them a bit higher than Purdue just because of this. Despite that, Fleming has the margin of victory at just over a point. I really trust his new coaching regime in West Lafayette and don’t believe Syracuse is all that good. I’ll happily take the points with Purdue in a game that I think favors the Boilers. I also took a bite on the ML at +125 as well.

Pick: Purdue +2.5 (-105)/ML +110 (On DraftKings)

Lonte’s Week 3 (23-24′) NCAAF Picks

Lonte (@xxlontexx)

Pick: Colorado TT OVER 42

Averaging right around 40.5 through the first two games BUT this matchup favors them and we have a data point that proves that.

Wazzou runs a similar offense and the Col St defense allowed a 52% success rate as well as 8.79 yds per drop back. Wazzou also had a 53% success rate when passing and 48% on passing downs.

I think Col offensively is more talented than Wazzou and after a lackluster performance vs Nebraska plus the Norvell trash talk, I would not be surprised if Prime keeps his foot on the gas late.

Pick: Houston +7.5

Good spot for HOU.TCU struggled with Col’s speed and tempo on the outside and while Hou doesn’t have the horses Col has, I think Smith and his versatility at QB could cause issues for the TCU defense.

The Rice passing offense destroyed the Houston defense, compiling 6 explosive pass plays and 56% success rate on passing downs.

This is somewhat of an outlier for Hou defense (small sample) that held a high powered UTSA offense to 37% success rate and a 32% success rate on passes.

The truth is somewhere in the middle, and at home in the B12 opener, I think Hou is live against an average TCU team.

Rusty’s Week 3 Picks for College Football

Rusty (@RustyHHSports)

Pittsburgh @ West Virginia | Spread: West Virginia -3 | Total: 48 | Pitt +1 @ WVU

As a WVU alumni I have been waiting for this game for years. The shit eaters make their drive 70 minutes south to Morgandise. There is no world in which Pitt comes into our stadium and walks away with a win. Pitt will not be able to stop Garret Greene. GIVE ME THE EERS BY ML

Pick: WVU ML (-115 @ DraftKings Sportsbook)

Colorado State @ Colorado | Spread: Colorado -24 | Total: 61 | Colorado State +23.5 @ Colorado

Once again I’m on the prime time hype train. As my 7th grade football coach said “we’re gonna run this until they can stop us.”

Meaning I’m taking Colorado (and usc TT bets but they’re on bye) bets every week until they’re stopped.

Pick: Colorado -23.5 (-110 @ DraftKings Sportsbook) and Colorado TT O41.5 (-125 @ DraftKings Sportsbook)

THIS IS AN ARTICLE WRITTEN BY Tailgates and Turnovers