The International Break offers some decent Football Betting action in South America, while Value is hard to find in Europe
The international break is again upon us. And while it may be a bit of a downer to not have your favorite club or leagues on to watch and bet on, there’s still plenty out there to entertain you and perhaps even some plays to add a few dollars to the bankroll. While most of the attention will be on Europe and some decisive Euro 2024 qualifiers over the next week, most of the lines on the other side of the Atlantic are often unplayable because of the gulf in quality between many of the nations squaring off.
Instead, a better place to look for action in the next couple of days is in South America where World Cup qualifying is in full swing and with just 10 teams in play, matches tend to be more tightly contested and bettable. Below we take a look a few of today’s matches south of the equator and some lines that caught our attention.
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Colombia v Brazil 7:00 PM EST
To quote Scotty: “This isn’t your fathers Brazil”. Through 4 matches played, Brazil sit 3rd with 7 points (2-1-1), after drawing Venezuela and Losing to Uruguay the last 2 times out. They are having a really hard time finding the net, with fitness issues over Gabriel Jesus, Neymar, Richarlison just to name a few. While not quite perfect, Colombia sits in 5th with an unbeaten record of 1-3-0, taking points in all 4 games. Moreover, Colombia hasn’t lost in 15 matches, a massive feat for the South Americans.
Some betting trends to look at in this one, all tend to favor Brazil however. They haven’t lost to Colombia in 7 matches (+130 ML, +215 draw), They’ve scored first in 5 of those 7 (Brazil to score first -120) and Under 10.5 corners has hit in their last 5 matchups (corner spread is set low in this one, at 8.5). In fact, Colombia has less than 10 corners in their last 6, and Brazil in 8 of their last 9. These tend to be tightly contested matchups and both teams are struggling to hit the net.
Home field (in this case, country) advantage has to be taken into account in this one. While Colombia has looked great as of late, Brazil seems to have their number. We can’t recall there ever being such an aggressive number on the Under, or such insane numbers on Anytime Goalscorer when it comes to a Brazil match (the shortest odds here are +300 for several players). This has all the makings of a 1-0 match (+400 if you are so bold), but until we see Colombia take them down, Brazil ML (+130) has to be the play.
Uruguay at Argentina 7:00 PM EST
After Brazil-Argentina, this is one of the fiercest rivalries on the continent in terms of intensity. The border rivals have no love lost which can make from some intense football. And the two sides currently sit 1-2 in the qualifying table after four match days. Host Argentina is the only side with a perfect record so far, while Uruguay has picked up 7 points.
While these matches tend to be tightly contested, they tend to favor the reigning World Cup Champions, especially when Argentina is hosting. Uruguay tends to punch above its weight, considering its small population. However, even having the likes of Darwin Nunez and Federico Valverde may not be enough to get a result in Buenos Aires.
Argentina has won three straight head-to-head and is unbeaten in seven against Uruguay. We like them to continue that streak, but at -175 the moneyline is unplayable. We think this match easily stays under 3.5 and would recommend the game parlay of Argentina Win & Under 3.5 at -110.
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