Episode 70 of the Tailgates and Turnovers College Football Podcast Rick, Pat and Bennett go deep
While there are some real howlers from a matchup perspective in this Week 5 College Football slate – there are some HOT games too
Rick and Pat join Bennett to talk football. Talk about a fluid session of college football podcast content – this stuff is like butter. Get in and see if you agree with these best bets for Week 5 College Football Betting.
We’re back again and the fellas as a combined group had a 59% win rate in week 4 with a ROI of 12.41%. Make sure you check out the plays below and also if you want to listen to some of the thoughts that went into our picks check out our podcast embedded or at the link here. Reviews and follows really help us out a ton so if you could do either it would be greatly appreciated.
Bennett’s College Football Picks Week 5
Bennett (@bennett_CFB) (13-12-1, 2% ROI)
Once again I’m spraying the board. We had 11 picks in last week and have even more with 17 this week. I think we have a good read on where a lot of teams are at this point in the season. Try to find better lines if you can… we lost two last week that would have been winners with better lines at closing time with Syracuse and Oklahoma.
Washington @ Arizona Washington -18.5 Total: 66
Washington has been absolutely pulverizing every team they play. Once again they lead the nation in just about every passing category and Arizona is giving up over 13 yards per completion on the year. McMillan is out again for Washington but it just won’t matter. On the other side De Laura is out for Arizona so it might be a little different gameplan on offense for the Wildcats. Arizona just won’t be able to keep up with the best offense in the country with a backup quarterback so lay Washington here.
Pick: Washington -18.5 (-110 on PointsBet)
Additional College Football Week 5 Plays:
Pick: USC Largest Lead of the Game -25.5 (-130 on DraftKings)
Pick: USC -21.5 (-110 on DraftKings)
UGA -14 (-112 on DraftKings)
Louisville NC State u55 ( -110 on FanDuel)
UVA +3.5 (-108 on Rivers)
Houston at Texas Tech u52 (-110 on DraftKings)
Iowa State at Oklahoma u49.5 (-115 on FanDuel)
WVU +14 (-115 on PointsBet)
Oregon at Stanford o59.5 (-110 on FanDuel)
LSU -2.5 (-110 on DraftKings)
Air Force -10.5 (-105 on FanDuel)
LA Tech +1 (-110 on DraftKings)
Utah State -4 (-110 on DraftKings)
Tulane -21.5 (-105 on FanDuel)
Georgia Southern -6 (-108 on Rivers)
Duke ML (+180 on Caesars)
ML Longshots For Week 5 NCAAF:
MSU (+328 on Caesars)
Syracuse (+235 on DraftKings)
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Rick’s Picks for Week Five College Football for 23-24′
Rick (@RickHHsports) (10-6, 21% ROI)
Utah Utes @ Oregon State Spread: Beavers -4.5 Total: 44.5
Everyone was fairly high on the Beavers entering the season with one of the best offensive lines and running backs, a veteran and stingy defense, and the transfer of former five star QB DJ Uagalelei. Through two games they were largely humming. The offensive line abused the lesser competition which opened up clear gaps through the air for DJ to exploit. San Jose State offered them a much stouter test at home, and Washington State was able to be carved up late, but it was the Beavers defensive backfield that was exposed multiple times to the tune of 38 points allowed.
Utah will not be the same explosive offense that Cam Ward leads, but their defense will be miles better. The Utes will be without Cam Rising again, and that offense has been horrible all season. Scoring just over 22 points a game this season, including a deceiving 20 point performance at Baylor that required two late touchdowns to salvage. It’s long been understood that the Utes perform much better at home, and now they go on the road without their QB against a team that matches up man for man with their personnel better than anyone else will in the PAC 12.
With both defenses being elite, the offenses needing to establish their run game to open up their passing game, and the weather likely to be disgusting during the day, I’ll take the under, comfortably, in this matchup. Unless we get some defensive touchdowns, I see no way either team hits 27 points. On top of that, the Utes haven’t even reached 200 yards passing this year, and they definitely won’t against the Beavers.
Pick: u44.5 (-110 on Caesars Sportsbook)
Georgia @ Auburn Spread: UGA -14.5 Total: 45.5
My reasoning won’t be long here, but this line is disrespectful to the Bulldogs. I sure hope there aren’t people trying to rationalize a longshot on Auburn ML since they’re at home and Georgia doesn’t look as dominant. This is the Bulldogs. Their defense might be the best in the nation, and they’re integrating new studs into a new offense that will take time to click.
Now the Bulldogs face arguably the league’s worst offense with a putrid quarterback. The Tigers barely mustered a win against Cal and got held to just 10 points against the Aggies. Kirby smart and team will get creative in scheming for this defense and certainly disguise some pressure and force Auburn into many mistakes. Even if Georgia’s offense looks pedestrian, they could cover this line scoring just 24 points. Give me the Bulldogs all day.
Pick: Georgia -14.5 (-110 on Caesars Sportsbook)
Notre Dame @ Duke Spread: ND -5.5 Total: 52.5
Last week we got an absurd over under with Notre Dame at 55.5 against an elite defense in Ohio State and an offense that won’t boat race anyone. Now we have the exact same situation but with a total just 3.5 points lower. Yes, Riley Leonard is a quality quarterback that I believe in, but if Ohio State wasn’t able to score at all, I don’t think Duke will either. Notre Dame will swallow the skill position players of Duke, and the Blue Devil’s veteran defense will mitigate big plays while Notre Dame leans on their effective run game.
I think we could have a close game in North Carolina with this being the biggest stage for Duke in a long time and Notre Dame coming off a grueling game against Ohio State last week. Give me the under in a close one, maybe 24-21 Notre Dame.
Pick: u52.5 (-110 on Caesars Sportsbook)
Additional Week 5 NCAAF Plays:
Florida/Kentucky u45 (-110 on Caesars Sportsbook)
South Carolina +11.5 (-110 on Caesars Sportsbook)
Clemson/Syracuse u53 (-110 on Caesars Sportsbook)
UCF -12.5 (-110 on Caesars Sportsbook)
Rusty’s Picks for best College Football Betting Week 5 23-24′
Rusty (@RustyHHsports) (4-2, 24% ROI)
I know I let everyone down last week by not having a pick in. Rusty was being a world traveler. Anywho ya boy is back with some winners. I don’t remember my record but I think it’s actually pretty solid.
To the games…
USC @ Colorado USC -21.5 Total: 73.5
If you’ve been following my picks this year you know I’ve been taking USC Team Total Over, Colorado team total over and Colorado spread. Fortunately, I was MIA last week when Colorado got their cheeks spread by Oregon.
Unfortunately, my two teams play each other this week.
I refuse to pick against the spread. On one hand, logic would suggest USC should run Colorado out of the stadium, on the other hand I still believe in the buffs. The good news is this over is an over bettors/ casuals wet dream.
Pick: Over 73.5 (-110) and give me USC TT over 48.5 (-110)
Kansas @ Texas (Texas – 16.5; o/u 63.5)
Texas sucks. They are not back. They will never be back. Alabama is a fraudulent team this year so that win for Texas means virtually nothing. Horns down baby
Pick: Kansas +16.5 (-110)
NOTE: Pat Taylor’s Picks are already archived on the audio for this podcast episode by Tailgates and Turnovers. We will add his write up shortly after this post goes live as an edit.
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