Thursday Night Football Player Prop Picks – NFL TNF Betting

Thursday Night Football Player Prop Picks – NFL TNF Betting

Have a look at these Thursday-Day picks – for Thursday Night Football

There is nothing better than wrapping up work on a Thursday in the fall knowing that the weekend is near and football is on. This week’s matchup of the Vikings heading to Philadelphia is particularly interesting for a number of reasons, and I’ve got my eye on two player props that really stand out in the market. I’ve already got a play on the Eagles team total tonight that you can check out here, and if you want to follow along for additional analysis and best bets be sure to follow me on Twitter @AndyHHSports. Let’s jump right in!

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Player Prop best bets for TNF – NFL week 2 Thursday September 14, 2023

Alexander Mattison under 47.5 Rushing Yards (-114) – 1 Unit

Alexander Mattison garnered a lot of hype in fantasy football circles over the summer as a nice mid draft running back pickup with Dalvin Cook out the door. Everyone knew Mattison as one of the best handcuffs to Cook throughout the years, as he was always serviceable as a dependable fill-in when Cook went down. However, this perception of Mattison being a serviceable back has been blown up into people believing he may have a breakout year, and I just do not believe he is that guy.

Mattison averaged 3.82 yards per carry last season which ranked him in the bottom 39% of running backs. He only had 74 attempts last season, but averaged 3.66 per carry the year before with 134 attempts. Alex also ran for 11 carries on Sunday for 34 yards against the Bucs, playing into his low average yards per rush stats I’ve listed above.

With the Eagles working to improve their run defense this off-season and overall having a stout defensive unit as a whole, I like Mattison to go under 47.5 tonight. The Vikings will likely be playing from behind, and are already such a pass heavy offense that Mattison will be a non-factor. The emergence of Jordan Addison and dependability of TJ Hockenson and the best receiver in the league Justin Jefferson gives Minnesota plenty more options in the air than they have on the ground, which is no surprise for the third highest team in pass plays per game at 65% last season.

Minnesota had 73% of their plays as passing plays against the Bucs on Sunday, and I will look for them to air it out once again tonight. Look for Mattison to not gain much on the ground, while guys like Ty Chandler and Myles Gaskin slowly but surely eat at Mattison’s production as the season goes along.

D’Andre Swift over 14.5 Receiving Yards (-114) – 1 Unit

Kenneth Gainwell is out tonight for the Eagles after clearly holding the RB1 spot against the Patriots in Week 1. This was worrisome to Swift fantasy owners who are now calling for the former Georgia running back to have a big game. I am not necessarily banking on Swift to ball out tonight as Rashad Penny may also get some shine following his Week 1 being a healthy scratch, but I do think he will be utilized more.

Nick Sirianni highlighted in his postgame press conference that they had to get Swift more involved, and what better way to do it than passing him the ball in short passes or screens. Swift has always been a dependable receiving back more than a running back in his three years in the league. With Gainwell out, look for Swift to get more runs as a short option for Jalen Hurts and the Eagles actively trying to get their trade acquisition on the ball more frequently.

Swift has averaged 27.5, 34.8, and 27.8 receiving yards per game in his career averaging around four catches a game. This is where his bread and butter is, and where the Birds will look to get him involved. Due to Swift barely seeing the field on Sunday, this line of 14.5 still feels like an overreaction spot despite the Gainwell news. I’ll be backing the low number to go over here, as even if Swift is not on the field as much as we think he should still be relied on as the short pass option for Philly tonight against the Vikings.




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